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Late-stage private markets · Secondaries

The Software Layer

For professional and institutional readers
13 July 2026
  • Below the model labs everyone watches, a quieter cohort has crossed from narrative into revenue — and it is accelerating.
  • ClickHouse tripled annualised revenue to $250m; Glean crossed $300m; Modal’s run-rate rose roughly five-fold to an estimated $300m in under a year.
  • ClickHouse is marked at $15bn on ≈$250m of annualised revenue — roughly 60×. Harvey, at $11bn, has grown into its mark: reported ARR has climbed from ≈$190m in January toward ≈$300m, compressing its multiple to ≈37×.
  • The implied multiple spans ≈15× at Modal to ≈60× at ClickHouse — a four-fold spread on revenue alone, within a single, narrowly defined cohort.
  • The price of revenue is a function of how much of that run-rate is contracted versus consumption, gross margin, net retention, and how defensible the category is against the hyperscalers building down into it.

IThe ranking

Below the model giants sits a second tier of AI businesses defined not by the size of their models but by the revenue they clear. ClickHouse, an analytical database, leads at $15bn after a January round; Harvey, which builds legal-workflow agents, follows at $11bn. Glean (enterprise search) and Modal (AI compute) come next. Two younger names — Exa and Parallel Web Systems, both building web infrastructure for AI agents — already carry marks around $2bn. A third primitive, OpenRouter, routes inference across models for a fee of roughly 5% of spend; it was valued at $500m in an April 2025 round and, in May 2026, raised a $113m Series B (led by CapitalG) that more than doubled its mark to ≈$1.3bn.

$0 $3bn $6bn $9bn $12bn $15bn ClickHouse $15bn Harvey $11bn Glean $7.2bn Modal $4.65bn Exa $2.2bn Parallel $2bn
Latest disclosed private valuation, US$. OpenRouter (≈$1.3bn after its May 2026 Series B) and seed-stage Sycamore are discussed in the text but omitted here. Figures rounded.
CompanyValuationSegmentLatest markRevenue
ClickHouse$15bnData & analytics$400m Series D · Jan 2026≈$250m annualised
Harvey$11bnLegal AI$200m round · Mar 2026≈$300m run-rate (est.) · Jun 2026
Glean$7.2bnEnterprise search$150m Series F · Jun 2025≈$300m run-rate · May 2026
Modal$4.65bnAI compute$355m Series C · May 2026≈$300m run-rate (est.)
Exa$2.2bnSearch for AI agents$250m Series C · May 2026Not publicly disclosed
Parallel Web Systems$2.0bnWeb infra for agents$100m Series B · Apr 2026Not publicly disclosed
SycamoreSeed (n/d)Enterprise agent OS$65m seed · Mar 2026Pre-revenue
Valuations and revenue from public reporting and company statements. Revenue bases differ (contracted ARR vs consumption run-rate) and are not comparable like-for-like.

IIWhat the marks rest on

Where revenue is reported on a roughly comparable basis, the implied multiple is the clearest lens. It runs from about fifteen times at Modal to about sixty at ClickHouse — a four-fold spread inside one cohort, with Harvey now near the middle at ≈37× after reported revenue caught up to ≈$300m. These figures are illustrative: ARR is reported or estimated, the bases differ, and a multiple is not a forecast. But the dispersion is the point. The market is not paying a single price for a dollar of AI-software revenue; it is paying for growth rate, gross margin and defensibility, and it is paying very differently for each.

0x 15x 30x 45x 60x Modal 15.5x Glean 24x Harvey 37x ClickHouse 60x
Implied valuation ÷ reported or estimated annualised revenue; illustrative only, not comparable like-for-like and not a forecast. Modal’s and Harvey’s current revenue are estimates. Exa, Parallel and Sycamore have no public revenue basis and are excluded.

IIIRevenue, accelerating

What distinguishes this cohort from the frontier hardware tier is that the revenue is real, and growing fast. ClickHouse tripled annualised revenue year-on-year to $250m; Glean tripled to $300m in fifteen months; Harvey has climbed to a reported $300m; Modal’s run-rate rose roughly five-fold to an estimated $300m. These are among the steepest revenue ramps in private software. They also explain, in part, why the marks have moved as quickly as they have.

$0 $100m $200m $300m $83m $250m ClickHouse $100m $300m Harvey $100m $300m Glean $60m $300m Modal ≈12 months earlier Latest run-rate
Annualised revenue, US$m: latest run-rate against the level roughly twelve months earlier. ClickHouse tripled year-on-year; Glean tripled in fifteen months; Modal’s run-rate rose roughly five-fold. Bases differ (contracted vs consumption); figures reported or estimated, rounded.

IVThe price and the basis

Set mark against revenue directly and the dispersion sharpens. At comparable annualised revenue — roughly $250m to $300m — ClickHouse and Harvey are marked two to three times higher than Glean and Modal. The revenue is similar; the price is not. The difference is the market’s read on durability: a database and a legal-agent platform with deep enterprise lock-in are being underwritten differently from a search tool or a compute layer, however fast each is growing.

$0 $5bn $10bn $15bn $0 $100m $200m $300m Annualised revenue (US$m, reported/est.) Latest mark (US$bn) ClickHouse Harvey Glean Modal
Latest mark against annualised revenue; bubble area is the latest round. At comparable revenue (≈$250–300m), marks range from $4.65bn to $15bn — the multiple, not the revenue, is doing the work. Bases differ; figures rounded.

Two cautions close the note. First, the bases are not clean. Consumption-priced run-rate is not contracted ARR; an annualised month is not an audited year. We have used reported figures and flagged estimates, but the multiples above should be read as orders of magnitude, not decimals. Second, the no-revenue edge — Exa, Parallel, Sycamore — is being priced on the same agentic thesis as the leaders, without the income statement to test it. Where public software multiples compress, the question is how quickly these private marks follow. We observe the exposure; we draw no conclusion the reader has not earned for themselves.

Sources

  1. ClickHouse — $400m Series D at ≈$15bn (led by Dragoneer); annualised revenue ≈$250m, tripled year-on-year. TechCrunch, Bloomberg; 16 Jan & 27 May 2026.
  2. Harvey — $200m round at $11bn (led by GIC and Sequoia); ARR ≈$190m in January, up from $100m in August 2025, and reported near $300m by mid-2026; prior $8bn, Dec 2025. CNBC, Bloomberg; 25 Mar / Jun 2026.
  3. Glean — $150m Series F at $7.2bn (led by Wellington); annualised revenue crossed $300m. Glean, CNBC, TechCrunch; 10 Jun 2025 & 28 May 2026.
  4. Modal — $355m Series C at $4.65bn (led by General Catalyst and Redpoint); run-rate estimated ≈$300m, up from $60m in September 2025. TechCrunch, Tech Startups; 21 May 2026.
  5. Exa — $250m Series C at $2.2bn (led by Andreessen Horowitz); prior $85m at $700m, Sep 2025; no public revenue basis. Bloomberg, SiliconANGLE; 20 May 2026.
  6. Parallel Web Systems — $100m Series B at $2bn (led by Sequoia); web/research APIs for AI agents; no public revenue basis. TechCrunch, PR Newswire; 29 Apr 2026.
  7. OpenRouter — $28m Series A at $500m (led by Menlo Ventures), Apr 2025; $113m Series B at ≈$1.3bn (led by CapitalG), May 2026; ≈5% take-rate on inference spend. TechCrunch, Sacra; 2025–2026.
  8. Sycamore — $65m seed (led by Coatue and Lightspeed); enterprise agent operating system; pre-revenue. TechCrunch; 30 Mar 2026.
This document is published by Pie Capital Partners as independent research for professional and institutional readers. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or interest. All information is drawn from publicly available sources believed to be reliable. The reader is responsible for independent verification and for any decisions taken. © Pie Capital Partners.
Pie Capital PartnersThe Software Layer · 13 July 2026